Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.442860 0.486071 0.532367 0.585776 0.645838 0.711461 0.788808
2025-11-09 0.364942 0.423522 0.490704 0.573942 0.674977 0.794498 0.947858
2025-11-16 0.326947 0.393974 0.474494 0.579343 0.713725 0.882178 1.112508
2025-11-23 0.295499 0.366596 0.455151 0.575097 0.735711 0.946843 1.251304
2025-11-30 0.273883 0.348350 0.444038 0.578178 0.764899 1.021050 1.408844
2025-12-07 0.252233 0.327575 0.426961 0.570424 0.776904 1.070918 1.535671
2025-12-14 0.234164 0.309783 0.411894 0.563220 0.787733 1.118573 1.663038
2025-12-21 0.214805 0.288600 0.390224 0.544225 0.778715 1.134649 1.741445
2025-12-28 0.206469 0.282088 0.388472 0.553680 0.812569 1.218780 1.939535
2026-01-04 0.198297 0.275116 0.385334 0.560426 0.842288 1.298639 2.140015
2026-01-11 0.190032 0.267375 0.380363 0.563662 0.866228 1.370780 2.335674
2026-01-18 0.182236 0.259775 0.374971 0.565577 0.887773 1.440460 2.535523
2026-01-25 0.175528 0.253532 0.371414 0.570428 0.915164 1.524119 2.776445
2026-02-01 0.165593 0.241774 0.358521 0.558921 0.913188 1.554567 2.915931
2026-02-08 0.160162 0.236680 0.355802 0.564151 0.941089 1.643055 3.188702
2026-02-15 0.153225 0.228793 0.348040 0.560040 0.951420 1.698679 3.398872
2026-02-22 0.148242 0.223737 0.344555 0.563023 0.974993 1.782561 3.685495
2026-03-01 0.141625 0.215674 0.335578 0.555515 0.977780 1.824373 3.880576
2026-03-08 0.135578 0.208241 0.327237 0.548539 0.980897 1.866993 4.084389
2026-03-15 0.127920 0.197782 0.313195 0.530142 0.959799 1.855699 4.151344
2026-03-22 0.125480 0.195953 0.313919 0.539300 0.995026 1.970848 4.564924
2026-03-29 0.122733 0.193457 0.313313 0.545834 1.025346 2.078489 4.979502
2026-04-05 0.119598 0.190136 0.311047 0.548967 1.048704 2.172771 5.375734